A look back at our NYCFC predictions for 2023

Before the start of the last season, the contributors here at Hudson River Blue took our crystal ball out of its velvet-lined mahogany case and asked it to reveal the truth about the year that lay ahead for New York City FC with “23 predictions for 2023.” Now it’s time to look back and see how those NYCFC predictions played out.

We were feeling cocky back then, to be honest. The previous year, we made “22 predictions for 2022,” and an impressive 14 proved to be (more or less) true. It revived a tradition that started in 2015, when our colleagues made 15 predictions, two of which actually happened. A few years later, the spirits riddled us “five things that will definitely happen.” While only one of those things took place that year, two more happened much, much later. 

But 2023 was a rough year for NYCFC, and for our ability to peer into the future. Read on to see what we got right, what we got wrong, and why we sometimes gave ourselves a pass.

23 Predictions for 2023, revisited

1. Things will feel weird. The roster rebuild, the Apple TV broadcasts, the stadium that’s no longer the object of obsessive speculation: There’s no escaping that the start of the season will be a little off.
   
   True: With no Santiago Rodríguez and no striker, the start to the season didn’t flow
   3 points
   
   
2. The price of a can of beer at Yankee Stadium will cross the $20 threshold.
   
   Not Untrue: Most beers clock in at $12, some higher
   1 point
   
   
3. The roster rebuild won’t be completed before the start of the season, and after a bumpy March (#CushingOut) some key signings will set up the team for the longest winning streak in club history (#CushingIn).
   
   Partially True: A poor start was followed by an influx of new players and a strong finish, but #CushingIn never gelled
   1 point
   
   
4. It will take exactly one match on Apple TV for NYCFC fans to loudly call for the return of Joe Tolleson and Ian Joy. 
   
   True
   3 points
   
   
5. Talles Magno will emerge as a true MLS superstar. He’ll add enough goals to his game to grab league-wide attention, and his on-field flair mixed with off-field fashion will turn him into the face of NYCFC. Links to European clubs emerge by the end of the season.
   
   Nope
   0 points
   
   
6. Also: Talles Magno, Gabriel Pereira, and Matías Pellegrini will form the best attacking trio in the league. They’ll be known as “Pe Pe Magno.”
   
   Triple nope
   0 points
   
   
7. Queens will start to feel like home.
   
   True
   3 points
   
   
8. Head coach Nick Cushing will once again sneak for a post-game beer at Billy’s Sport’s Bar. It’s his thing.
   
   Didn’t happen
   0 points
   
   
9. Center-back Samuel Owusu will be the next NYCFC II player to be called on to make a clutch appearance for the Senior Team, then earn a regular place in the Starting XI.
   
   Sorta? Stephen Turnbull was the one who was tapped, but after a handful of starts he didn’t see any minutes
   0 points
   
   
10. Mayor Eric Adams will reveal that his fingers were crossed behind his back for the entire press conference at the Queens Museum, and that the stadium deal is off. In an official statement, NYCFC CEO and President Brad Sims will remind him that there are “no takebacks!” City Hall will counter that the mayor’s fingers were double-crossed, and so takebacks are allowed.
    
    True: The politicking around Willets Point got messy, with Mayor Adams stalling slightly in June, Mets owner Steve Cohen calling takebacks on parking, and Queens Borough President Donovan Richards injecting a little late drama
    3 point
    
    
11. A highly-touted Homegrown player who’s so young he gets carded at Starbucks will make their debut with the Senior Team (Christian McFarlane or Máximo Carrizo, take your pick).
    
    Didn’t happen
    0 points
    
    
12. Philadelphia Union and their unhinged fans will remain obsessed with NYCFC and the silverware that got away.
    
    Forever true
    3 points
    
    
13. Nick Cushing will prove to be the best head coach in the history of the club by taking the team to another level, and setting a new standard in North America for attractive, progressive soccer. Then he’ll leave us. They always do.
    
    If only
    0 points
    
    
14. Justin Haak will establish himself as a regular starter and the midfield partner of Keaton Parks. Haak will find his way to the MLS Top 22 under 22 list.
    
    Partially true: Haak proved himself to be an important part of the team but didn’t have a breakout season
    1 point
    
15. NYCFC will once again call Red Bull Arena “home” multiple times during the season. Did you actually believe the schedule the club released last month?
    
    So true: Although the NYCFC Front Office did move the Decision Day game set for RBA game to Citi Field
    3 points
    
    
16. Lionel Messi will sign with Inter Miami, and his first game in pink will be the March 11 match at Yankee Stadium. Ticketmaster will suffer another Taylor Swift-caliber meltdown, no tickets will scan at the gates, and the only ones watching the game will be the Ball Kids.
    
    True: OK, the 36-year-old never played at Yankee Stadium, but he did sign for Inter Miami, and his appearances/non-appearances caused all sorts of issues on the secondary market
    3 points
    
    
17. The Outfield will continue to be the best publication to cover NYCFC not named Hudson River Blue.
    
    Forever true
    3 points
    
    
18. Tayvon Gray will take a massive step up this season and be very close to a European move by the end of the year.
    
    Partially true: Gray improved this year, and was called up to the Jamaica national team, but he’s not Europe-level yet
    1 point
    
    
19. Also Europe-bound: sporting director David Lee, who will leave midseason to run a club in England.
    
    Nah
    0 points
    
    
20. New York City will make a shock move for left-winger Jesé, who will record a reggaeton collab with Bad Bunny and Daddy Yankee that becomes the team anthem. Jesé will go on the unlikeliest of scoring streaks after mostly being cold for the majority of the season. 
    
    If only 
    0 points
    
    
21. NYCFC will become an unexpected Leagues Cup contender, win their group, then make it all the way to the semis before falling in a penalty shootout.
    
    Nope
    0 points
    
    
22. The new primary kit for NYCFC will be a sharp number in classic blue with tasteful orange details as the Pigeons finally settle on a standard design: Straightforward primary kits, wild and wacky alternates.
    
    Not really: The Interboro Kit is classic blue has some fancy-pants detailing
    1 point
    
    
23. NYCFC will sweep the New Jersey Red Bulls in the Hudson River Derby, again. That much is crystal clear.
    
    100% no
    0 points
    

So, how did we do? Not great: We took 29 out of a possible 69 points, with a 35% win percentage. That mirrors how NYCFC fared in 2023, when the team took 41 out of a possible 102 points and had a win percentage of 27%. 

In other words, both Hudson River Blue and NYCFC missed the playoffs. 

But both of us are in the middle of a destiny-changing rebuild, and are gearing up for a wild 2024. 

Stay tuned.